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1、精選優(yōu)質(zhì)文檔-傾情為你奉上(一)論述、簡(jiǎn)答、計(jì)算題:1、What is the current account balance of France when the French budget surplus is 348 million Euros, private saving is 256 million Euros, domestic capital formation is 134 million Euros?解答:National saving = private saving + government saving = 256+348=604 millionCurrent acc
2、ount balance = national saving domestic real investment = 604-134=470 million附:Current account balance(CA)=net foreign investment(If)National saving(S)=domestic real investment(Id)+net foreign investment(If)If=CA=S-Id , CA=Y(domestic production of goods and services)-E(total expenditures on goods an
3、d services)2、Which of the following transactions could contribute to a British current account surplus? Explain whya French firm sells defense equipment to the British government for 250 million pounds in bank depositsb Great Britain makes a gift of $500 million to the Iraqi government to aid in rec
4、onstruction.c The United States borrows 200 million pounds on a short-term basis from the British government to buy 200 million pounds in textiles from Great Britain.C:merchandise exportscurrent account surplusA:merchandise importscurrent account deficitB:unilateral transfercurrent account deficit3、
5、You are provided with the following information about a countrys international transactions during a given year:Service exports $346Service imports $354Merchandise exports$480Merchandise imports$348Income flows, net$153Unilateral transfers, net$142Increase in the countrys holding of foreign assets,
6、net(excluding official reserves assets)$352Increase in foreign holdings of the countrys assets, net(excluding official reserve assets)$252Statistical discrepancy, net$154a. Calculate the official settlements balance and the current account balance.b. Is the country increasing or decreasing its net h
7、oldings of official reserve assets? Why?A: Current account balance=net credits net debits on(the flow of goods ,services ,income and unilateral transfer)=(346354)+(480348)+153142 = 135Financial account balance= foreign holdings of the countrys assets the countrys holding of foreign assets =352 + 252
8、 = 100So, official settlement balance(B)=CA balance + financial account balance= 135 100=35B: Current account balance = 1328+153142=135B = CA + FA = 135 + (100) = 35 B + OR + Statistical discrepancy = 0OR = 189 Increase in net holdings of official reserve assetDebit(-)Credit(+)BalanceGoods348480132S
9、ervices354346-8Income153Unilateral transfer142-142Private capital flows352252-100OR189-189Statistical discrepancy1544、For each case below, state whether the euro has appreciated or depreciated and give an example of an event that could cause the change in the exchange rate.a. The spot rate goes from
10、 450 euros/Mexican peso to 440 euros/Mexican peso.b. The spot rate goes from 0.011 Mexican pesos/euro to 0.006 Mexican pesos/euro.c. The spot rate goes from 1.48 euros/British pound to 1.51 euros/British pound.d. The spot rate goes from 0.73 British pounds/euro to 0.75 British pounds/euro.A: indirec
11、t quotation, euro appreciatedB: direct quotation, euro depreciatedC: indirect quotation, euro depreciatedD: direct quotation, euro appreciated5、What are the two forms of interbank foreign exchange trading? Compare and contrast he similarities and differences of the two forms.Form 1 Interbank trading
12、 is conducted directly between the traders at different banksForm 2 Interbank trading are conducted through foreign exchange brokerSimilarities: Both are making the foreign exchange trades.Differences: Form1,the traders know to whom they are quoting exchange rates for possible。Form2,the use of broke
13、rs provide anonymity to the traders until an exchange rate is agreed on for a trade.Form2,the use of brokers can also allow the bank to economize on the costs of searching for the best available exchange rates, because the brokers business is to know the rates at which various banks are willing to t
14、rade. Brokers earn commission for their services.6.The spot exchange rate between the dollar and the Japanese yen is a floating rate. What effects will the following events have on the exchange rate? In each case, draw a graph to illustrate the changes in the foreign exchange market caused by the ev
15、ent.a. Political unrest in Japan causes U.S. investors to shift their investments out of Japan.b. There is a large increase in Japanese demand for U.S. investments because Japanese investors believe that the U.S. economy is experiencing strong growth.c. There is an increase in demand in the U.S. for
16、 Japanese exports as Japan becomes a low-cost producer of electronic devices.A: Selling Japanese to dollars increase in supply of Japanese yen shift the supply curve reduces the exchange rate value (/yen) of Japanese yen so in a floating-rate system shift the supply curve for yen to right and the de
17、mand curve remains unchanged the dollar appreciatesExchange rate(/yen)SSDyenB: Increase in supply of Japanese yen, because Japanese need to sell yens to get U.S. dollars in the foreign exchange market and then use those dollars to make investment in the US其余同part AC: Demand for Japanese yen increase
18、, because in most case, ten Japanese exports desire to be paid in yens but the U.S. importer desires to pay in dollars , so somewhere in the payment process dollars must be exchanged for yens Exchange rate(/yen)SDDyen7、Assume that the spot exchange rate between the dollar and the Japanese yen is a f
19、ixed rate within a narrow band around an announced rate. Assume that each of the following scenarios will shift the intersection of private supply and demand outside the band. What policy interventions are necessary by the monetary authorities in order to maintain the fixed rate?a. Political unrest
20、in Japan causes U.S. investors to shift their investments out of Japan.b. There is a large increase in Japanese demand for U.S. investments because Japanese investors believe that the U.S. economy is experiencing strong growth.c. There is an increase in demand in the U.S. for Japanese exports as Jap
21、an becomes a low-cost producer of electronic devices.a、b U.S. government must intervene in the foreign exchange market by selling U.S. dollars and buying Japanese yenc U.S. government must intervene in the foreign exchange market by selling Japanese yen and buying U.S. dollars展開(kāi)分析部分(見(jiàn)6題)8、What is tr
22、iangular arbitrage? Assume you have 100 U.S. dollars. Explain how you can make a profit using triangular arbitrage with the following exchange rates:U.S. dollars per Euro=1.0Euros per British pound =6.0British pound per U.S. dollar =3.20triangular arbitrage:There is an opportunity to make riskless p
23、rofit by arbitraging through the three rates.Step 1 exchange 100 dollars for 320 pounds (100*3.2) Step 2 exchange 320 pounds for 1920 euros (320*6)Step 3 exchange 1920 euros for dollars (1920*1)THEN, the net profit = 1920 100 = 1820 dollars9、The current spot exchange rate is $1.14/Euro. The current
24、90-day forward exchange rate is $1.11/Euro. How could a U.S firm, who must repay a 40 million Euro loan in 90 days, use a forward exchange contract to hedge its risk exposure?One way to hedge its risk exposure is to enter into a forward contrast to buy 40 million Euro in 90-days. If the 90-day curre
25、nt forward exchange rate is 1.11/Euro , then the company must deliver 44.4 million in 90 days10、You are asked to test if the forward exchange rate is equal to the average market expectation of the future spot exchange rate. What information will you need to prove/disprove this statement?Prove:(Forwa
26、rd exchange rate = future spot exchange rate)We hypothesize that speculators pressure on supply and demand should drive the forward exchange rate to equal the average expected value of the future spot exchange rate11.Covered interest parity states that the forward premium should be equal to the diff
27、erence in interest rates. Does the empirical evidence support this statement? Explain.一項(xiàng)基本的檢驗(yàn)是考察由同一機(jī)構(gòu)提供但以不同貨幣計(jì)值的金融資產(chǎn);一種好的選擇是由大型銀行向其國(guó)際客戶提供一套歐洲貨幣存款?;钴S于歐洲貨幣市場(chǎng)的銀行愿意接受以任何數(shù)種貨幣計(jì)值,而不只是以銀行所在國(guó)貨幣計(jì)值的支付;利息存款。各種不同的檢驗(yàn)已證明,抵補(bǔ)的利率平價(jià)幾乎完全地適用于歐洲貨幣存款;例如歐洲美元和歐洲英鎊之差,等于英鎊的遠(yuǎn)期升水一項(xiàng)更為嚴(yán)格的抵補(bǔ)的利率平價(jià)檢驗(yàn)是由不同機(jī)構(gòu)在不同國(guó)家金融市場(chǎng)發(fā)行的嚴(yán)格可比資產(chǎn),該研究檢驗(yàn)了美國(guó)
28、、日本和法國(guó)金融資產(chǎn)的抵補(bǔ)的利率差。大約從20世紀(jì)80年代中期起,抵補(bǔ)的利率平價(jià)對(duì)于這4種貨幣的可比短期資產(chǎn)來(lái)說(shuō)成立12.Will the law of one price apply better to rare gems(寶石) or to computers? Explain.The law of one price apply better to Rare Gems. The transactions of rare gems are more convenient, so any price discrimination will lead to arbitrage activiti
29、es, which will drive the price of rare gems in the same currency value to be equal. People couldnt arbitrage the price discrimination of computers, so the price cannot be equal. If the price discrimination continues to exist, the discrimination would exist all the time, in the computer market, there
30、 is no power to drive it to be equal. P = e · Pf13.You observe the following current rates:Spot exchange rate: $1.25/SFrAnnual interest rate on 30-day U.S.-dollar-denominated bonds: 8%Annual interest rate on 30-day SFr-denominated bonds: 2%a. Does uncovered interest parity hold? If so, what spo
31、t exchange rate do investors expect in 30 days?b. What is likely to be the effect on the spot exchange rate if the interest rate on the 30-day SFr-denominated bond increases by 3%?c.a × (360÷30) = 8%2% = 0.005X=1.25625b 瑞士法郎利率到3%;瑞士法郎升值× (360÷30) = 8%3% =Ex=1.2510314. Explain the
32、 various aspects of PPP. Be sure to explain the differences between absolute and relative purchasing power. Explain the strengths and weaknesses of PPP. How well has PPP done in predicting actual exchange rates?A、PPP的有三個(gè)層面的含義:1)一價(jià)定理:P = e · Pf2)絕對(duì)PPP:e = 3) 相對(duì)PPP:=B、絕對(duì)PPP和相對(duì)PPP的區(qū)別相對(duì)PPP通過(guò)一段時(shí)間來(lái)考察
33、;而絕對(duì)PPP只是根據(jù)當(dāng)期的情況來(lái)考察的C、PPP的優(yōu)勢(shì)和劣勢(shì)對(duì)于一種大量交易的商品而言,PPP假說(shuō)的預(yù)測(cè)是準(zhǔn)確的對(duì)于所有的交易商品而言,PPP假說(shuō)的預(yù)測(cè)僅是中度準(zhǔn)備的對(duì)于整個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)中的全部產(chǎn)品而言,PPP假說(shuō)的預(yù)測(cè)是最差的絕對(duì)購(gòu)買力平價(jià):在某一時(shí)點(diǎn)上匯率的決定,在某一時(shí)點(diǎn)上兩種貨幣貨幣間的均衡匯率實(shí)際上就等于兩國(guó)物價(jià)水平的比率相對(duì)購(gòu)買力平價(jià):說(shuō)明一定時(shí)期內(nèi)匯率的變動(dòng)的原則,認(rèn)為匯率的漲落是由于物價(jià)或貨幣購(gòu)買了的變動(dòng)而引起的,并主張,一定時(shí)期內(nèi)匯率的變化應(yīng)與同期兩國(guó)物價(jià)水平的相對(duì)變動(dòng)成比例購(gòu)買力評(píng)價(jià)的缺陷之處 它以貨幣數(shù)量論為前提,把價(jià)格與匯率的關(guān)系完全看作是單向的因果關(guān)系其中價(jià)格是因,匯率是果
34、,這也有悖現(xiàn)實(shí)。 價(jià)格指數(shù)的選擇亦無(wú)嚴(yán)格的標(biāo)準(zhǔn),究竟應(yīng)該以國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值消脹指數(shù)、批發(fā)價(jià)格指數(shù)還是消費(fèi)價(jià)格指數(shù),很難從理論上提出科學(xué)的依據(jù)實(shí)際情況中難以滿足各國(guó)相同可貿(mào)易品權(quán)數(shù)相同評(píng)價(jià): 購(gòu)買力平價(jià)論由于抓住了貨幣內(nèi)在的特性貨幣的購(gòu)買力,即價(jià)格水平這一影響匯率的核心因素,并首次使理論匯率的確定得到了量化的尺度,比較直觀,因而長(zhǎng)期以來(lái)一直深受學(xué)術(shù)界的推崇,占據(jù)主流地位,至今仍有極大影響。尤其是在嚴(yán)重的通貨膨脹時(shí)期,購(gòu)買力平價(jià)論的可靠性更為突出。15. Exchange controls result in considerable costs to a country whose governme
35、nt imposes them. Describe these costs and the role that parallel markets play in economies with exchange controls.外匯管制旨在限制對(duì)外匯的過(guò)度私人需求(促使本幣貶值的壓力。);在外匯管制中,一些人想得到外匯,并原因?yàn)榇酥Ц陡哂诋?dāng)前匯率的價(jià)格,但他們卻不能買到外匯,由于一些凈邊際損失,這會(huì)帶來(lái)整個(gè)國(guó)家的福利損失,此外,這些不能被滿足的需求者,還會(huì)轉(zhuǎn)向其它方法以得到外匯,他們可能會(huì)賄賂政府官員以得到稀缺的外匯,他們還可以逃避外匯管制,從非法外匯黑市得到外匯(一般以遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)高于官方平價(jià)的價(jià)格
36、)。(二)名詞解釋:Chapter 02balance of payments:The set of accounts recording all flows of value between a nations residents and the residents of the rest of the world during a period of time.the current account: Records the values of goods and services sold and purchased abroad, + net interest and other fa
37、ctor payments and net unilateral transfers and gifts.the capital account:consists of capital transfer and the buying and selling of nonproductive assets and non-financial assets.the double-entry bookkeeping:Any exchange automatically enters the balance-of-payment accounts twice: as a credit and as a
38、 debit of the same value. merchandise trade balance:equals the net credits - debits, on merchandise flows.current account balance:equals the net credits - debits on the flows of goods, services, income, and unilateral transfers. It also equals the change in the nations foreign assets minus foreign l
39、iabilities, also known as net foreign investment. the overall balance:equals the sum of the current account balance + the private capital account balance.the official reserve asset balance(OR):官方黃金和外匯資產(chǎn)的余額;其它與IMF相關(guān)的官方儲(chǔ)備的余額,以及被他國(guó)看作其官方資產(chǎn)的余額;稱之為官方資產(chǎn)余額the Errors and Omissions:is a suspicious item, calle
40、d statistical discrepancy.residents:include all its governmental bodies (excluding central banks) and those individuals and organizations that reside permanently (usually more than a year) and have their economic “center of interest” in the country.the international investment position: is a stateme
41、nt of the stocks of a nations international assets and foreign liabilities at a point in time, usually the end of a year.the IMF:The IMF was set up with contributions of gold and foreign exchange from member governments. It grants all member countries the right to borrow reserves to finance temporar
42、y deficits. the reserve position in the IMF:指的是一個(gè)國(guó)家加入基金組織時(shí),所繳納的份額。按IMF規(guī)定,認(rèn)繳份額的25%須以可兌換貨幣繳納,其余75%用本國(guó)貨幣繳納SDRs:(Special Drawing Right) is an artificial "basket" currency used by the IMF for internal accounting purposes. The SDR is also used by some countries as a peg for their own currency, a
43、nd is used as an international reserve asset.Chapter 03foreign exchange:Definition in broad sense: holdings of foreign currencies: (1) foreign currencies; (2) payment instruments denominated in foreign currencies, like demand bank deposits; (3) securities in terms of foreign currencies; (4) other cl
44、aims on nonresidents in terms of foreign currencies.Definition in narrow sense: the means which is used in international settlement.exchange rate:the price of one nations money in terms of another nations money.spot exchange rate:The spot exchange rate is the price for “immediate” exchange(delivery)
45、.forward exchange:the price set now for an exchange (delivery) that will take place sometime in the futureintangible market:banks and traders who work at banks are at the center of the foreign exchange market. These banks and their traders use computers and telephones to conduct foreign exchange tra
46、des with their customers and also with each other.a vehicle currency:One foreign currency is exchanged for dollars, and these dollars are then exchanged for the other foreign currency. The dollar is often used in this way to accomplish trading between two other currencies, and the dollar is called a
47、 vehicle currency.SWIFT (Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications): which is used to transmit instructions from one member bank to anotherCHIPS (Clearing House International Payments System):This system clears dollar transfers among its member banks, which include all large and i
48、nternationally active banks.floating exchange rate:It is the exchange rate system without intervention by governments or central bankers.the equilibrium exchange rate:(market-clearing rate) means no tendency for change. It is at the intersection point of the supply and demand curves.fixed exchange r
49、ate:Official strive to keep the exchange rate virtually fixed ( or pegged ) even if the rate they choose differs from the current equilibrium rate.the depreciation(the appreciation):Under the floating-rate system a fall in the market price (the exchange rate value) of a currency is called a deprecia
50、tion of that currency; a rise is an appreciation.the devaluation(the revaluation):We refer to a discrete official reduction (rising) in the otherwise fixed par value of a currency as a devaluation (revaluation).arbitrage:The process of buying and selling to make a (nearly) riskless pure profit, ensu
51、res that rates in different locations are essentially the same, and that rates and cross-rates are related and consistent among themselves. biangular arbitrage:Buy currencies where they are cheap and simultaneously sell them where they are expensive.triangular arbitrage:There is an opportunity to ma
52、ke riskless profit by arbitraging through the three rates.basic rates:Basic rates represent the dollar price of various foreign currenciescross rates:the cross-rates are the rates between foreign currencies.Chapter 04exchange rate risk:the possibility of loss or gain of foreign exchange (currencies)
53、 assets (or liabilities) held by persons because of changes of exchange ernational financial investment:investment on foreign-currency ernational investment with cover:if the rate at which the future sale of foreign currency will occur is locked in now through a forward exchange c
54、ontract, we ernational investment without cover: involves investing in a financial asset denominated in a foreign currency without hedging or covering the future proceeds of the investment back into ones own currency.hedging:Hedging a position exposed to rate risk is the act of reducing or e
55、liminating a net asset or net liability position in the foreign currency.hedgers: are persons who have a home currency and seek a balance between their liabilities and assets in foreign currencies.speculating:Speculating is the act of taking a net asset position (“l(fā)ong”) or a net liability position
56、(“short”) in the foreign currency, thereby gambling on its future exchange value.speculators:A speculator is anybody who is willing to take a net position in a foreign currency, whatever his motives or expectations about the future of the exchange rate.the forward premium:F = (f e)/e If F is positiv
57、e, the pound is at a forward premium because it gains value between buying current spot pounds and selling current forward pounds.the forward discount:If F is negative, the pound is at a forward discount because it loses.covered interest arbitrage:It is buying a countrys currency spot and selling that countrys currency forward, to make a net profit from the combination of the difference in interest rates between countries and the forward premium on that countrys currency.uncovered interest arbitrage:covered interest parity:The condition Covered Interest Differential (CD) = 0 is referre
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